Kyoto and beyond

This release is also available in German.

The Kyoto protocol and short-term reduction targets for greenhouse gas emissions are an important first step in tackling climate change. However, these need to go hand in hand with long-term commitments. Model-based estimates up to the year 3000 show that a gradual transition to an emission-free economy is possible at an acceptable price within the next 50 to 100 years. The findings were published by several members of the European Climate Forum (ECF) in the current issue of Science (Science, 12 December 2003).

To avoid dangerous climate change, global per capita greenhouse gas emissions need to be reduced to a small fraction of the present levels of developed countries within the next hundred years. In the worst case, if all available fossil fuel resources (conventional and exotic) are used and emissions are not reduced, model simulations indicate that the sea level could rise by about 8 meters and the average air surface temperature by about 9 degrees Celsius in the later part of this millennium.

Because of the long residence time of CO2 of more than 100 years in the atmosphere, climate response is governed by cumulative rather than current CO2 emissions. Important is not the detailed emissions path, but that emissions are strongly reduced over a period of 50 to 100 years. Thus the detailed reductions achieved during the Kyoto period are less critical than the start of a transition to a sustainable path of continually decreasing emissions. This requires policies extending well beyond the Kyoto horizon. Cost estimates indicate that the implementation of an effective climate policy would delay economic growth over a period of fifty years by perhaps one to two years - an acceptable price for the avoidance of dangerous climate change.

Since energy technologies are characterized by long capital lifetimes, clearly stated

Contact: Prof. Klaus Hasselmann

Page: 1 2

Related biology news :

1. Fox Chase Cancer Centers Alfred Knudson Jr. named 2004 Kyoto Prize winner
2. College is first to be Kyoto Protocol compliant
3. ESA providing Kyoto estimates of French Guianas tropical forests
4. Kyotos global warming controls could harm forests
5. Global change conference sets the scene for next round of Kyoto Protocol talks
6. New IIASA research challenges Kyoto Protocol
7. MIT study assesses effects of Kyoto Protocol
8. Looking beyond biodiversity to explain community invasibility
9. Destination Deadhorse...and beyond
10. Time to go beyond cholesterol, MUHC cardiologists suggest
11. Bugs from the deep may be window into the origins of life -- on earth and beyond

Post Your Comments:

(Date:1/30/2020)... ... January 30, 2020 , ... Accelera Canada , a full-service firm delivering ... is pleased to announce that the company has opened the doors of its first ... 2017. , “We are so thrilled to now have all our partners and ...
(Date:1/28/2020)... ANTONIO (PRWEB) , ... January 28, 2020 , ... ... Airrosti ’s methods improve care efficiency, reduce total cost of care, and limit ... Airrosti, a large healthcare provider group headquartered in San Antonio, Texas specializes in ...
(Date:1/24/2020)... ... January 24, 2020 , ... Worldwide Business with kathy ireland® has ... and Vice President of Sales and Marketing Jeff Maier to discuss their innovative technology, ... on Sunday, Jan. 26, 2020 at 5:30 p.m. EST and internationally on Bloomberg Television ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):
(Date:2/11/2020)... ... February 11, 2020 , ... ... solutions services in North America, today announced that the City of Fort Worth ... its biosolids management needs. Commencing in April of 2020, Synagro will assume operation ...
(Date:2/5/2020)... (PRWEB) , ... February 05, 2020 , ... Rare ... observance, sponsored by The National Organization for Rare Disorders (NORD), to raise awareness amongst ... ( rarediseaseday.org ). The Balancing Act’s “Behind The Mystery” rare disease series ...
(Date:1/28/2020)... ... 28, 2020 , ... Lifecycle Biotechnologies announced today ... manufactures within North America. Both Lifecycle and Midland have supported this industry for ... to pool their collective resources and provide the industry with support, service, and ...
(Date:1/27/2020)... ... January 27, 2020 , ... Cerebyte, the leader in ... computing, today announced the availability of neuroscience of transformational leadership workshops. These highly ... neuroscience of leadership and change research to become great transformational leaders. The ...
Breaking Biology Technology:
Cached News: