HOME >> BIOLOGY >> NEWS
Mathematical rule said to be widely and wrongly used to forecast future beach erosion

DURHAM, N.C. -- A decades-old mathematical model is being inappropriately used in at least 26 nations to make potentially costly predictions about how shorelines will retreat in response to rising sea levels, two coastal scientists contended in the Friday, March 19, 2004, issue of the research journal Science.

"Models can be a hazard to society, and this is certainly an example of such," wrote Orrin Pilkey of Duke University's Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, and J. Andrew Cooper of the Coastal Research Group at the University of Ulster in Northern Ireland, in a Perspectives commentary.

The mathematical equation, called the Bruun rule, "is a 'one model fits all' approach unsuitable in a highly complex natural environment with large spatial variations in shoreline retreat," the two authors added. "Even under ideal conditions ... the rule has never been credibly shown to provide accurate predictions."

Pilkey, a retired geology professor who still directs Duke's Program for the Study of Developed Shorelines, said in an interview that the rule was developed in the 1960s by Per Bruun, a Danish civil engineer who was long active in Florida beach preservation projects.

According to Pilkey, the Bruun rule stipulates that it is the slope of the "shoreface" -- the broad front of a beach extending down into the water to a depth of about 10 yards -- that controls how and how quickly a beach "erodes," meaning how it retreats landward as sea level rises.

"There is no relationship between the shoreface slope and the rate of erosion," he said. "We know that each shoreline is different, and one model cannot possibly explain every shoreface. It's ludicrous. And yet it's being defended by a number of people."

Their commentary also said the Bruun rule is intended "to be deployed only under a limited range of environmental circumstances (such as uniform sandy shorefaces with no rock or mud outcrops). Unfort
'"/>

Contact: Monte Basgall
monte.basgall@duke.edu
919-681-8057
Duke University
18-Mar-2004


Page: 1 2 3

Related biology news :

1. Applied Mathematical Models in Human Physiology
2. Mathematical modeling predicts cellular communication
3. Mathematical models reveal molten and glassy states of RNA
4. Mathematical prediction of on-off switches in cell division proven
5. Mathematical model provides new tool to assess mail-borne spread of anthrax
6. Mathematical analysis could aid flu vaccine selection
7. New Mathematical Model Could Help Predict Health Of Offshore Areas Where Rivers Enter The Sea
8. Penn engineers develop fuel cell that uses liquid diesel, the first such device to run on a widely available fuel
9. Report: Proteins can be engineered as widely adaptable bioelectronic sensors
10. UF research suggests widely used models may under predict pollution
11. Ginkgo herbal supplements vary widely in content

Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:


(Date:1/31/2017)...  Spero Therapeutics, LLC, a biopharmaceutical company founded ... bacterial infections, today announced it has acquired a ... Bono Bio Ltd (PBB) to bolster its pipeline ... of Gram-negative bacteria.   The assets acquired have been ... group company. "The acquisition of these ...
(Date:1/25/2017)... The Elements of Enterprise Information Security ... of a comprehensive set of business processes and ... identities and providing a secured and documented access ... number of programs opted by enterprises to maintain ... processes and changing policies. However, there are some ...
(Date:1/21/2017)... 20, 2017 Research and Markets has announced ... report to their offering. ... The global voice recognition biometrics market to grow ... The report covers the present scenario and the growth prospects ... the market size, the report considers the revenue generated from the ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):
(Date:2/27/2017)... FRANCISCO , Feb. 27, 2017 Fluxion ... Spain has been appointed as a ... System. The IsoFlux system will be used in Genetracer ... relevant to lung and colon cancer, with plans to ... The laboratory is utilizing Fluxion,s IsoFlux System to isolate, ...
(Date:2/25/2017)... ... February 25, 2017 , ... The STARR ... an ongoing effort to create meaningful change by increasing communication, partnerships and goodwill ... on consumers and patients’ mental health well-being. , Both organizations are dedicated to ...
(Date:2/24/2017)... Provectus Biopharmaceuticals, Inc. (OTCQB: PVCT, ... oncology and dermatology biopharmaceutical company, today is providing ... its previously announced rights offering of up to ... stock and Series C Convertible Preferred Stock to ... As previously announced, the rights offering ...
(Date:2/24/2017)... HONG KONG, Feb. 24, 2017 China Cord Blood ... "Company"), China,s leading provider of cord blood collection, laboratory ... services, today announced its unaudited financial results for the ... 2017 ended December 31, 2016. Third Quarter ... the third quarter of fiscal 2017 increased by 18.6% ...
Breaking Biology Technology:
Cached News: