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First systematic study of China's one-child policy reveals complexity, effectiveness

ccess is contributing to an increasing proportion of older Chinese citizens, a shrinking workforce, and a disproportionate number of males to females.

Except for the United States, most Western countries have below-replacement birth rates, due not to government regulations but to factors such as shifting family values and economic pressures, Wang says. He plans to explore how similar motives may affect birth rates in China, even for couples who legally can have a second or third child.

"No country has yet to reverse the trend of below-replacement birth rates, so China's next step regarding its one-child policy will be an important one," Wang says. He notes that a plan to phase out the policy does not appear to be a government priority.


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Contact: Christine Byrd
cbyrd@uci.edu
949-824-9055
University of California - Irvine
18-Apr-2007


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