HOME >> BIOLOGY >> NEWS
First test of predictions of climate change impacts on biodiversity

A new study published in the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography represents the first real test of the performance of models used to forecast how species will change their geographic ranges in response to the Earth's changing climate

Despite the weight of scientific evidence that the Earth is warming and that this is already affecting wildlife, many people - and a few scientists - still refuse to believe it is actually happening. These climate change skeptics usually justify their position by insisting that scientists' forecasts are just too inaccurate. Of course, we can never really know what the future will bring, but in a fascinating new study published this week in the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography a group of Oxford Scientists have tested the ability of environmental science to predict the future by going back to the past.

Dr Miguel Arajo and his colleagues from Oxford University's Biodiversity Research Group imagined they were back in the 70's and were trying to predict the geographic ranges of British birds in 1991 using 16 commonly used climate-envelope models and the real data on how the climate had changed during this period.

Climate envelope model forecasts typically involve a three-step process: First, for each species, mathematical models are developed to link the species to its present climate envelope (actual environmental conditions where the species is found). Second, a climate change scenario for some point in the future, typically 2020 or 2050, is applied to generate a new potential range distribution for the species. Third, this new projected distribution is compared to the present distribution, allowing the scientists to forecast whether the species distribution, will grow, or shrink, or even become extinct.

Unlike previous studies that have provided untestable forecasts of range changes in response to future climate change, the Oxford study was able to directly compare the predicted range changes w
'"/>

Contact: Emily Davis
emily.davis@oxon.blackwellpublishing.com
44-1-865-476-269
Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
13-Jun-2005


Page: 1 2

Related biology news :

1. First case of successful ovarian tissue transplantation between two, nonidentical sisters
2. First new multiple sclerosis gene found in 30 years
3. First genome-wide study of infectious disease opens new avenues for HIV treatment, vaccines
4. First all-African produced genetically engineered maize is resistant to maize streak virus
5. First baby is born after oocytes were matured in the lab and frozen
6. First confirmed common genetic risk factors for breast cancer
7. First demonstration of new hair follicle generation in an animal model
8. First research to show that diabetes damages DNA in mens sperm and may affect fertility
9. First demonstration of muscle restoration in an animal model of Duchenne muscular dystrophy
10. First systematic study of Chinas one-child policy reveals complexity, effectiveness
11. First international conference on self-healing materials

Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:
TAG: First test predictions climate change impacts biodiversity

(Date:2/18/2015)... SUNNYVALE, Calif. , Feb. 18, 2015  Cepheid (NASDAQ: ... be speaking at the following conferences, and invited investors to ... Conference, Boston, MA Tuesday, March 3, ... Institutional Investors Conference, Orlando, FL Wednesday, ... Accessing Live Webcasts To access the live webcasts for these ...
(Date:2/12/2015)... Conn. , Feb. 12, 2015 NXT-ID, ... or the "Company"), a biometric authentication company focused on ... has filed provisional patent 62/113114 for DISTRIBUTED ... DEVICES. The patent further establishes NXT-ID,s position ... its intellectual property portfolio the ability for multiple devices ...
(Date:2/9/2015)... -- Lintec of America recently announced an exclusive license to ... including sheets, yarns and ribbons, developed at the University ... vast industrial resources of the global Lintec Group, headquartered ... America is forming the Nano-Science and Technology Center (NSTC) ... scaling up the manufacturing and commercialization of nano engineered ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):Cepheid to Webcast Upcoming Financial Presentations 2NXT-ID Patents Collaborative Services to Enable the "Internet of Things" 2NXT-ID Patents Collaborative Services to Enable the "Internet of Things" 3Lintec announces exclusive license to commercialize innovative carbon nanotube technology from the University of Texas at Dallas 2Lintec announces exclusive license to commercialize innovative carbon nanotube technology from the University of Texas at Dallas 3Lintec announces exclusive license to commercialize innovative carbon nanotube technology from the University of Texas at Dallas 4
(Date:3/3/2015)... --Research and Markets ( http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/rcv4lq/gene_therapy ) has ... 2015 - 2025" report to their offering. ... an extensive study on the marketed and pipeline gene ... in this field for over a decade but there ... markets; one approved in the EU). There are many ...
(Date:3/3/2015)... Adaptive Biotechnologies announced today that Chad ... of Director as Chair of the Audit Committee. ... oversees all finance, treasury and accounting functions. Since joining ... treasury and accounting functions, and led the finance organization ... he was named Puget Sound Business Journal,s CFO of ...
(Date:3/3/2015)...  Regenicin, Inc. (OTC Bulletin Board: RGIN ... and commercialization of regenerative cell therapies to restore the ... it has received the final payment to conclude The ... Bulletin Board: AMBS ). ... payments due to Regenicin in the amount of $2.3 ...
(Date:3/3/2015)... BOSTON, MA (PRWEB) March 03, 2015 ... Print Supply Chain, today announced the expansion of its ... quality, color-matched print to 850 the world’s largest cities ... Supply Chain extends to 137 countries providing global enterprises ... the print procurement process from online order to real-world ...
Breaking Biology Technology:Global Gene Therapy Market Report 2015-2025 - Extensive Study on the Marketed and Pipeline Gene Therapies 2Global Gene Therapy Market Report 2015-2025 - Extensive Study on the Marketed and Pipeline Gene Therapies 3Global Gene Therapy Market Report 2015-2025 - Extensive Study on the Marketed and Pipeline Gene Therapies 4Global Gene Therapy Market Report 2015-2025 - Extensive Study on the Marketed and Pipeline Gene Therapies 5Global Gene Therapy Market Report 2015-2025 - Extensive Study on the Marketed and Pipeline Gene Therapies 6Global Gene Therapy Market Report 2015-2025 - Extensive Study on the Marketed and Pipeline Gene Therapies 7Adaptive Biotechnologies adds Chad Cohen, Zillow Group CFO, to Board of Directors 2Regenicin (RGIN) Receives $2.3 Million in Final Payment from Amarantus 2Regenicin (RGIN) Receives $2.3 Million in Final Payment from Amarantus 3HubCast Expands Global Print Supply Chain: Launches New Product Suite 2HubCast Expands Global Print Supply Chain: Launches New Product Suite 3HubCast Expands Global Print Supply Chain: Launches New Product Suite 4
Cached News: