HOME >> BIOLOGY >> NEWS
First test of predictions of climate change impacts on biodiversity

A new study published in the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography represents the first real test of the performance of models used to forecast how species will change their geographic ranges in response to the Earth's changing climate

Despite the weight of scientific evidence that the Earth is warming and that this is already affecting wildlife, many people - and a few scientists - still refuse to believe it is actually happening. These climate change skeptics usually justify their position by insisting that scientists' forecasts are just too inaccurate. Of course, we can never really know what the future will bring, but in a fascinating new study published this week in the journal Global Ecology and Biogeography a group of Oxford Scientists have tested the ability of environmental science to predict the future by going back to the past.

Dr Miguel Arajo and his colleagues from Oxford University's Biodiversity Research Group imagined they were back in the 70's and were trying to predict the geographic ranges of British birds in 1991 using 16 commonly used climate-envelope models and the real data on how the climate had changed during this period.

Climate envelope model forecasts typically involve a three-step process: First, for each species, mathematical models are developed to link the species to its present climate envelope (actual environmental conditions where the species is found). Second, a climate change scenario for some point in the future, typically 2020 or 2050, is applied to generate a new potential range distribution for the species. Third, this new projected distribution is compared to the present distribution, allowing the scientists to forecast whether the species distribution, will grow, or shrink, or even become extinct.

Unlike previous studies that have provided untestable forecasts of range changes in response to future climate change, the Oxford study was able to directly compare the predicted range changes w
'"/>

Contact: Emily Davis
emily.davis@oxon.blackwellpublishing.com
44-1-865-476-269
Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
13-Jun-2005


Page: 1 2

Related biology news :

1. First case of successful ovarian tissue transplantation between two, nonidentical sisters
2. First new multiple sclerosis gene found in 30 years
3. First genome-wide study of infectious disease opens new avenues for HIV treatment, vaccines
4. First all-African produced genetically engineered maize is resistant to maize streak virus
5. First baby is born after oocytes were matured in the lab and frozen
6. First confirmed common genetic risk factors for breast cancer
7. First demonstration of new hair follicle generation in an animal model
8. First research to show that diabetes damages DNA in mens sperm and may affect fertility
9. First demonstration of muscle restoration in an animal model of Duchenne muscular dystrophy
10. First systematic study of Chinas one-child policy reveals complexity, effectiveness
11. First international conference on self-healing materials

Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:


(Date:4/18/2019)... Conn. and WALNUT CREEK, Calif. (PRWEB) , ... ... ... cost management solution for the healthcare industry, today announced the launch of mSource® ... language processing to extract deep knowledge of Medpricer customers’ supplier contracts, truly optimizing ...
(Date:4/16/2019)... , ... April 16, 2019 , ... ... 50 Healthcare Technology CEOs of 2019 . An extensive process was run to ... medical devices, biotech, healthcare analytics, healthcare software and other related areas. We gathered ...
(Date:4/9/2019)... ... 09, 2019 , ... Intalere, the healthcare industry leader in ... Ambry Genetics, a leading clinical genetic testing company. The collaboration will enable Intalere ... history assessment, so they may better identify and manage patients with a high ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):
(Date:4/9/2019)... ... ... The American Society of Gene & Cell Therapy (ASGCT) is excited to ... the presidential line of succession, at the 22nd Annual Meeting . Members of ... three-year term (2019-2021). , All five incoming members of the ASGCT Board of ...
(Date:4/4/2019)... ... April 03, 2019 , ... ... intimate off-the-record collaboration and dialogue, today announces its Boston CEO conference to be ... into the industry’s challenges and opportunities with high-level panels and discussions from past, ...
(Date:3/23/2019)... ... 2019 , ... uBiome has awarded microbiome research support in ... Nnamdi Azikiwe University in Anambra State, Nigeria led by Dr. Kingsley C. Anukam, ... Medical Laboratory Sciences and Deputy Provost, College of Health Sciences. The study hopes ...
(Date:3/19/2019)... ... 19, 2019 , ... Konica Minolta Precision Medicine, Inc. (KMPM), ... their inaugural Scientific Advisory Board. , Founded in late 2018, KMPM ... variability in genes, environment, and lifestyle to more accurately predict, detect, treat and ...
Breaking Biology Technology:
Cached News: