HOME >> BIOLOGY >> NEWS
Improved predictions of warming-induced extinctions sought

In the March 2007 issue of BioScience, an international team of 19 researchers calls for better forecasting of the effects of global warming on extinction rates. The researchers, led by Daniel B. Botkin, note that although current mathematical models indicate that many species could be at risk from global warming, surprisingly few species became extinct during the past 2.5 million years, a period encompassing several ice ages. They suggest that this "Quaternary conundrum" arises because the models fail to take adequate account of the mechanisms by which species persist in adverse conditions. Consequently, the researchers "believe that current projections of extinction rates are overestimates." A critical review of the four types of model now in common use leads the team to identify various simplifying assumptions in the models that can lead to biases.

The authors make eight recommendations for improving forecasts of extinction rates under global warming. The recommendations cover a wide range, from clarifying the definition of biodiversity to improving existing models and developing better ones. They include, for example, the suggestion that current models need to be more rigorously tested, that explanations of extinction other than climate change need to be more thoroughly considered, and that better data should be brought to bear on the problem, especially information from the fossil record of Quaternary ice ages. The authors acknowledge, however, that they do not fully understand why so many species persisted during these ice ages, and caution that some genetic research suggests that species might in fact be more vulnerable than the fossil record indicates.


'"/>

Contact: Samantha Katz
skatz@aibs.org
202-628-1500
American Institute of Biological Sciences
1-Mar-2007


Page: 1

Related biology news :

1. Improved NIST SRM aids lead poisoning detection
2. Improved imaging for identifying breast cancer in overweight women
3. Improved speech without vocal cords
4. Improved blood safety measures from Pall can increase platelet availability
5. Improved statistical tools reveal many linked loci
6. Improved process of drying lumber may save millions
7. Improved cancer treatments aim of new biology research program
8. Improved recipe for magnetic brain stimulation
9. Improved molecular switch could serve as sensor, medical tool
10. Nitrogen study may improve ecological predictions
11. Monitoring data confirm key predictions about extinction

Post Your Comments:
*Name:
*Comment:
*Email:


(Date:6/9/2016)... ISTANBUL , June 9, 2016  Perkotek an innovation leader in attendance control ... to seamlessly log work hours, for employers to make sure the right employees are ... Logo - http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20160609/377486LOGO ... ... ...
(Date:6/7/2016)... June 7, 2016  Syngrafii Inc. and San ... relationship that includes integrating Syngrafii,s patented LongPen™ eSignature ... This collaboration will result in greater convenience for ... union, while maintaining existing document workflow and compliance ... ...
(Date:6/2/2016)... , June 2, 2016 The Department ... has awarded the 44 million US Dollar project, for the ... Vehicle Plates including Personalization, Enrolment, and IT Infrastructure , ... in the production and implementation of Identity Management Solutions. Numerous ... however Decatur was selected for the ...
Breaking Biology News(10 mins):
(Date:12/2/2016)... NEW YORK , Dec. 1, 2016   ... liquid photopurification, announced today that the Company has concluded ... has the right for a 90-day period to acquire ... invoice value of approximately USD 3.7 million.  ... an agreement with Tamarack under which Tamarack will seek ...
(Date:11/30/2016)... The global Pyrogen Testing Market ... dominant share in the overall market. The leading players, ... Merck KGaA, held a lion,s share of 51% in ... that these companies are expected to retain their leadership ... do not require rabbit pyrogen testing along with strategic ...
(Date:11/30/2016)... CHICAGO , Nov. 30, 2016  Tempus, ... customized cancer care, and Penn,s Abramson Cancer Center ... have a positive response to immunotherapy treatment based ... As part of a research collaboration, ... pancreatic and melanoma cancer patient data to Penn. ...
(Date:11/30/2016)... ... 2016 , ... SSCI, the established leader in small-molecule cocrystal technology and development, ... guidance on pharmaceutical cocrystals as drug substance . The Lunch and Learn ... event follows the successful November 15th event that took place in Burlingame, CA. Eyal ...
Breaking Biology Technology:
Cached News: