Air safety, election forecasting lead topics as operations researchers meet in Miami beach

LINTHICUM, MD, October 22 - Led by top analysts in air safety and the airlines, as well as researchers in election forecasting, the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences (INFORMS) holds an annual convention in Miami Beach from Sunday, November 4 to Wednesday, November 7 at the Fontainebleau Hilton Resort.

Operations researchers are little known but indispensable experts who use math and science to improve decision-making, management, and operations in a host of fields. The following presentations may interest reporters - Fighting Terrorism in the Skies Monday, November 5, 8:15-9:45 AM, Fontainebleau, Fleur De Lis Ballroom

The Worst Day Ever. Arnold Barnett, Sloan School of Management, MIT. The FAA consultant who NBC News has called the nation's leading expert on aviation safety examines the tragedy of September 11 and whether it's safe to return to the skies.

Selecting an Aviation Security Baggage Screening Device Strategy. John Kobza, Texas Tech University; Thomas J. Candalino, Texas Tech University; Sheldon H. Jacobson, Julie E. Virta, University of Illinois. The authors examine the tradeoffs between screening high risk baggage and all baggage as the cost of airport security grows. Forecasting the U.S. Presidential Election

A New Approach to Estimating the Probability of Winning in the Electoral College, Tuesday, November 5, 4-5:30 PM. Edward H. Kaplan, Yale School of Management, Arnold I. Barnett, Sloan School of Management, MIT. As the 2000 election showed so vividly, Electoral College standings rather than national popular votes determine who becomes the President. But current pre-election polls focus almost exclusively on the popular vote. Two leading researchers present a method for pollsters that can achieve point estimates and margins of error for a presidential candidate's electoral-vote total. Tuesday, November 6, 4-5:30 PM, Fontainebleau, Ballroom B

What the Futures Market Teaches About Electi

Contact: Barry List
Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences

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