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Assessing the season: LSU hurricane experts learned lessons during Hurricane Season 2004

major hurricane flooded New Orleans. Center researchers were assigned to different teams, van Heerden said, so that each could enrich the team's effort with their expertise.

Utilizing LSU's SuperMike supercomputer, Advanced Circulation (ADCIRC) storm surge models were run for a number of hurricanes this season, said van Heerden. Experimental storm surge estimates were posted online for Hurricanes Bonnie, Charley, Ivan and Jeanne. Because Hurricane Ivan was, for a time, aimed right at New Orleans, nine different models were run on the computer during a five-day period. Emergency management personnel from all levels of government, as well as industry, insurance interests and media members, utilized the Ivan storm-surge model information, van Heerden said. After Ivan, van Heerden and other researchers conducted a "hindcast" in which they compared their initial storm surge estimates to the actual storm surge. He said they discovered their model was indeed "right on the money."

Recently, van Heerden said, center researchers have been working with producers from the PBS television program NOVA and from the cable channel FX on future shows depicting the potential impacts of a major hurricane (such as Ivan) strike on Louisiana.

  • According to Associate Professor of Civil Engineering Brian Wolshon, of LSU's Transportation Research Laboratory, Hurricane Season 2004 was "the busiest season ever for evacuations." Wolshon attempted to travel to many of the areas that used contraflow evacuation routes. He was attempting to collect field data to quantify and assess the movement of traffic under evacuation conditions (the first study of its kind), but weather changes and other factors hindered him. "One of the difficulties of such research is the variable nature of storms and the responses to them ... but we finally met with success in achieving some of our goals with the evacuation of New Orleans prior to the arrival of Hurricane Ivan," he said. First, W
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    • Contact: Rob Anderson
    rander8@lsu.edu
    225-578-3871
    Louisiana State University
    16-Dec-2004


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