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Assessing the season: LSU hurricane experts learned lessons during Hurricane Season 2004

olshon said, he and fellow researchers were able to qualitatively verify that their predictions of how, when and where congestion would form during an evacuation of New Orleans were largely correct. "Encouraged by these findings we are now working with the Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development to improve their evacuation plans by testing and, potentially, implementing some of our even 'more progressive' ideas to enhance the preparedness of Louisiana," Wolshon said. He added that, as their ideas are implemented and become more well-known, they will "also be used to protect lives throughout the U.S." and could be applied for homeland security purposes, such as evacuations of major urban centers in case of a terrorist attack.

With the book closed on 2004, LSU experts have time to regroup, but, according to Keim, they could find themselves even busier during the next several years.

"One thing that people need to realize is that the last 30 to 40 years have been relatively quiet when it comes to hurricanes, at least compared to the previous 30 or so years," said Keim. "In the 1930s, 40s and 50s, there were more storms than we are accustomed to now, so, by standards of those times, this past season wasn't all that unusual.

"Long-term forecasts are predicting a return to something more reminiscent of the 30s, 40s and 50s. The next two or three decades are expected to be busier and more active than what we've experienced over the last 40 or so years."


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Contact: Rob Anderson
rander8@lsu.edu
225-578-3871
Louisiana State University
16-Dec-2004


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